Texas Senate Race Sees New Polling Dynamics

Texas flag representing the Texas Senate race

San Antonio, Texas, February 11, 2026

In the heated Texas Senate race, a recent poll shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading the Republican primary with 38% among likely voters. Incumbent John Cornyn follows closely at 31%, and Wesley Hunt has 17%. In the Democratic primary, Jasmine Crockett has 47% support, leading over James Talarico at 39%. As early voting nears, this competitive race is set to significantly influence Texas’s political landscape and the future Senate direction.


San Antonio, Texas – As the Texas Senate race heats up, a recent poll indicates that Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is leading the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat with 38% support among likely voters. Incumbent Senator John Cornyn trails closely at 31%, while U.S. Representative Wesley Hunt garners 17%. This competitive atmosphere offers voters the chance to shape future representation, reinforcing the power of the electorate in driving accountability and innovation.

The poll, conducted by the University of Houston’s Hobby School of Public Affairs, also reveals an interesting dynamic in potential runoff scenarios. If faced in a runoff, Paxton is projected to lead Cornyn by 51% to 40%. This emerging landscape has energized Texas’s Republican base, which could signal shifts in policy directions and priorities as the primaries approach.

In the Democratic primary, U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett is showing strength, leading state Representative James Talarico at 47% to 39%. While both Paxton and Cornyn currently hold slight advantages over Crockett and Talarico in hypothetical general election matchups, these leads fall within the margin of error, emphasizing the close nature of these races. The Texas Senate race stands as one of the nation’s most closely watched contests, with the potential to influence the balance of power in the Senate after the elections.

Texas Primary Election Logistics

Early voting for the Texas primary is set to begin on February 17, 2026, with the primary election taking place on March 3, 2026. If no candidate secures a majority of the vote, a runoff election will occur in May, giving voters an additional opportunity to weigh in on their preferred candidates. This flexible electoral process empowers local voters, ensuring that their voices and preferences are duly considered at multiple stages.

Voter Engagement in the Senate Race

As campaigns ramp up, both parties are intensifying their efforts to secure nominations, indicating a broader trend of increased voter engagement in Texas politics. The upcoming primaries provide a platform for entrepreneurs, small-business owners, and engaged citizens to influence the civic landscape. With participation encouraged, voters are encouraged to make their voices heard and take an active role in the democratic process.

Potential Impact on Business and the Community

The implications of these primary results extend beyond the political realm into the fabric of the Texas economy. Policies shaped by the next Senate candidates will carry repercussions for San Antonio’s burgeoning business sector and community dynamics. Emphasizing entrepreneurship and falling barriers to entry could lead to a flourishing of small businesses, driving innovation and supporting job creation in the region.

Key Takeaways from the Texas Senate Race

As we navigate through this election cycle, understanding the candidates and their positions on pivotal issues is key for informed voting. The mobilization of grassroots support, adaptive campaign strategies, and the strength of local engagement highlight the resilient spirit of Texas voters, committed to shaping a future that reflects their values and priorities.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What are the current standings in the Texas Republican Senate primary?

Ken Paxton leads with 38% support, followed by Senator John Cornyn at 31%, and Representative Wesley Hunt at 17%.

When does early voting begin for the Texas primary?

Early voting begins on February 17, 2026.

What happens if no candidate secures a majority in the primary?

If no candidate wins a majority, a runoff election will be held in May.

Who are the leading candidates in the Democratic Senate primary?

Jasmine Crockett leads with 47% support, while James Talarico has 39%.

How can I participate in the upcoming primaries?

Ensure you are registered to vote and plan to cast your ballot during the early voting period or on election day.

Key Features of the Texas Senate Race

Feature Details
Leading Republican Candidate Ken Paxton with 38% support
Leading Democratic Candidate Jasmine Crockett with 47% support
Primary Election Date March 3, 2026
Early Voting Start Date February 17, 2026
Runoff Election Date (if necessary) May 2026

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STAFF HERE SAN ANTONIO WRITER
Author: STAFF HERE SAN ANTONIO WRITER

The SAN ANTONIO STAFF WRITER represents the experienced team at HERESanAntonio.com, your go-to source for actionable local news and information in San Antonio, Bexar County, and beyond. Specializing in "news you can use," we cover essential topics like product reviews for personal and business needs, local business directories, politics, real estate trends, neighborhood insights, and state news affecting the area—with deep expertise drawn from years of dedicated reporting and strong community input, including local press releases and business updates. We deliver top reporting on high-value events such as Fiesta San Antonio, San Antonio Stock Show & Rodeo, and Dia de los Muertos. Our coverage extends to key organizations like the Greater San Antonio Chamber of Commerce and United Way of San Antonio and Bexar County, plus leading businesses in retail, insurance, and energy that power the local economy such as H-E-B, USAA, and Valero Energy. As part of the broader HERE network, including HEREAustinTX.com, HERECollegeStation.com, HEREDallas.com, and HEREHouston.com, we provide comprehensive, credible insights into Texas's dynamic landscape.

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