New Braunfels, Texas, January 31, 2026
The housing market in New Braunfels is experiencing a downturn, marked by a significant drop in home sales and an increase in inventory levels. This shift indicates a movement towards a buyer’s market, with fewer transactions and homes selling for less than their listed prices. The national housing market mirrors these trends, but experts predict a modest recovery for New Braunfels in the upcoming year, supported by promising population growth and job stability.
New Braunfels Housing Market Experiences Decline in 2025
New Braunfels, Texas – The housing market in New Braunfels faced a downturn in 2025, with a significant drop in home sales and a rise in inventory levels, indicating a shift towards a buyer’s market.
Decline in Home Sales and Prices
Throughout 2025, New Braunfels saw a consistent decrease in home sales. In October, the number of single-unit residential transactions fell by 9.2% year-over-year, from 2,912 to 2,644. This downward trend continued in December, with homes under contract in ZIP code 78130 rising by about 70% year-over-year, while median prices decreased in both local ZIP codes.
Increase in Inventory Levels
Concurrently, the market experienced a surge in active listings. By December 2025, there were 1,039 homes for sale, up from 151 new listings in the same month. This increase in inventory contributed to a median sale-to-list price ratio of 93.26%, indicating that homes were selling for less than their asking prices.
Shift Towards a Buyer’s Market
The combination of declining sales and rising inventory has led to a buyer’s market in New Braunfels. As of late 2025, inventory levels climbed into the 5.6–6.1 month range, surpassing the six-month threshold that traditionally signals a buyer’s market. This shift means buyers now have more negotiating power, and sellers may need to adjust their expectations.
National Housing Market Trends
Nationally, the housing market also faced challenges in 2025. Existing home sales remained at a 30-year low, with sales totaling 4.06 million units, slightly below 2024 levels. Contributing factors included persistently high home prices, elevated mortgage rates, and a chronic housing shortage. The national median home price rose 1.7% to $414,400 in 2025.
Outlook for 2026
Looking ahead, experts anticipate a modest expansion in the New Braunfels housing market in 2026. Factors such as strong population growth, job stability, and relative affordability are expected to support this growth. Additionally, as mortgage rates gradually ease, pent-up demand from 2024 and 2025 is anticipated to re-enter the market, potentially revitalizing sales activity.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
What caused the decline in home sales in New Braunfels in 2025?
The decline in home sales in New Braunfels in 2025 was attributed to factors such as persistently high home prices, elevated mortgage rates, and a chronic housing shortage. These elements contributed to reduced buyer activity and a decrease in the number of transactions.
How has the increase in inventory levels affected the New Braunfels housing market?
The increase in inventory levels in New Braunfels has led to a buyer’s market, characterized by more negotiating power for buyers and the need for sellers to adjust their expectations. As of late 2025, inventory levels climbed into the 5.6–6.1 month range, surpassing the six-month threshold that traditionally signals a buyer’s market.
What is the outlook for the New Braunfels housing market in 2026?
Experts anticipate a modest expansion in the New Braunfels housing market in 2026, supported by strong population growth, job stability, and relative affordability. Additionally, as mortgage rates gradually ease, pent-up demand from 2024 and 2025 is expected to re-enter the market, potentially revitalizing sales activity.
Key Features of the New Braunfels Housing Market in 2025
| Feature | Details |
|---|---|
| Decline in Home Sales | October 2025 saw a 9.2% year-over-year decrease in single-unit residential transactions, from 2,912 to 2,644. |
| Increase in Inventory Levels | By December 2025, there were 1,039 homes for sale, up from 151 new listings in the same month. |
| Shift to Buyer’s Market | Inventory levels climbed into the 5.6–6.1 month range, surpassing the six-month threshold that traditionally signals a buyer’s market. |
| National Housing Market Trends | Nationally, existing home sales remained at a 30-year low, with sales totaling 4.06 million units in 2025. |
| Outlook for 2026 | Experts anticipate a modest expansion in the New Braunfels housing market in 2026, supported by strong population growth and job stability. |
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