San Antonio, December 23, 2025
San Antonio is expected to experience a milder winter as NOAA forecasts above-average temperatures from December to February. The ongoing La Niña pattern supports this trend, potentially impacting local businesses and agriculture. Residents may enjoy extended outdoor activities despite concerns over drought conditions. The temperature forecast shows a 72% chance of warmer weather, while local communities are urged to address water conservation due to worsening drought scenarios. As the holiday season approaches, temperatures are likely to remain unseasonably warm, enhancing gatherings but raising drought awareness.
San Antonio, Texas: NOAA’s Winter Outlook Predicts Warmer Temperatures
Anticipating a Mild Winter in San Antonio
As we prepare for the winter months, San Antonio finds itself in the warm embrace of NOAA’s forecast, which predicts above-average temperatures across Texas from December 2025 through February 2026. This projection is closely aligned with the ongoing La Niña pattern, known for ushering in warmer and drier conditions to the region. This outlook not only affects weather patterns but also has implications for local businesses, agriculture, and the community’s daily life.
Local entrepreneurs and small business owners can often find a silver lining in such forecasts, as mild weather could mean extended opportunities for outdoor events and activities. Reduced regulatory burdens, coupled with favorable climatic conditions, can contribute to a vibrant atmosphere for local markets and festivals, fostering a sense of community as well as economic growth.
Temperature Forecast
San Antonio stands at a 28% chance of experiencing below-average temperatures this winter, slightly up from 26% in the previous outlook. This indicates a robust 72% likelihood of near to above-average temperatures. Comparatively, cities further north like Austin, Waco, and Dallas are likely to see a slightly higher probability of cooler weather, with statistics ranging from 30% to 33%.
Precipitation and Drought Conditions
While the temperature outlook appears favorable, there are concerns about precipitation levels. The forecast does not provide specific predictions on rainfall, but the ongoing warmth could worsen existing drought conditions in South Texas. With areas like the Rio Grande Valley already facing below-average rainfall, there are heightened concerns regarding water supply and agricultural sustainability. Local residents are encouraged to remain vigilant about drought conditions and to adhere to water conservation measures as necessary.
Implications for the Holiday Season
Looking ahead to the holiday season, many residents in South and West Texas, including Laredo and the Rio Grande Valley, can expect unseasonably warm temperatures with highs in the low to mid-80s. As Christmas approaches, this trend is likely to carry into the weekend, where temperatures will hover in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees. While such temperate conditions are excellent for holiday gatherings and outdoor activities, they further highlight existing drought concerns.
Looking Ahead
NOAA’s winter outlook suggests the persistence of the La Niña pattern throughout the winter months, reinforcing the likelihood of warmer and drier conditions across Texas. It is crucial for residents to remain updated on local drought conditions and to monitor weather forecasts closely. Such preparedness not only supports individual households but also bolsters the community’s resilience against potential weather-related challenges.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
What is NOAA’s winter outlook for Texas?
NOAA forecasts above-average temperatures across Texas from December 2025 through February 2026, consistent with the ongoing La Niña pattern.
How does the La Niña pattern affect Texas weather?
La Niña typically brings warmer and drier conditions to Texas, leading to increased chances of above-average temperatures and potential drought conditions.
What are the chances of below-average temperatures in San Antonio this winter?
San Antonio has a 28% chance of experiencing below-average temperatures during the winter months, indicating a 72% likelihood of near to above-average temperatures.
How might the warmer temperatures impact drought conditions in South Texas?
The warmer temperatures may exacerbate existing drought conditions in South Texas, leading to concerns about water supply and agricultural impacts.
What can residents do to prepare for the upcoming winter season?
Residents should stay informed about local drought conditions, adhere to water conservation measures, and monitor local weather forecasts to make informed decisions about water usage and outdoor activities.
Key Features of the Winter Outlook
| Feature | Details |
|---|---|
| Temperature Forecast | Above-average temperatures across Texas from December 2025 through February 2026, with a 72% chance of near to above-average temperatures in San Antonio. |
| La Niña Impact | Ongoing La Niña pattern expected to persist, bringing warmer and drier conditions to the region. |
| Drought Concerns | Warmer temperatures may exacerbate existing drought conditions in South Texas, affecting water supply and agriculture. |
| Holiday Season Weather | Unseasonably warm temperatures expected during the holiday season, with highs in the low to mid-80s in South and West Texas. |
| Preparation Recommendations | Residents advised to stay informed about local drought conditions, adhere to water conservation measures, and monitor local weather forecasts. |
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Author: STAFF HERE SAN ANTONIO WRITER
The SAN ANTONIO STAFF WRITER represents the experienced team at HERESanAntonio.com, your go-to source for actionable local news and information in San Antonio, Bexar County, and beyond. Specializing in "news you can use," we cover essential topics like product reviews for personal and business needs, local business directories, politics, real estate trends, neighborhood insights, and state news affecting the area—with deep expertise drawn from years of dedicated reporting and strong community input, including local press releases and business updates. We deliver top reporting on high-value events such as Fiesta San Antonio, San Antonio Stock Show & Rodeo, and Dia de los Muertos. Our coverage extends to key organizations like the Greater San Antonio Chamber of Commerce and United Way of San Antonio and Bexar County, plus leading businesses in retail, insurance, and energy that power the local economy such as H-E-B, USAA, and Valero Energy. As part of the broader HERE network, including HEREAustinTX.com, HERECollegeStation.com, HEREDallas.com, and HEREHouston.com, we provide comprehensive, credible insights into Texas's dynamic landscape.
